19.01.2020
AAKASHAYA PATRA WEEKLY MARKET OVERVIEW
The Indian market scaled new peaks in the week ended January 17
with Sensex climbing Mount 42000 for the first time. Optimism over the upcoming
Budget on February 1 and the ongoing Q3 earnings season helped bulls maintain
their hold on the D-Street.
The rally finally seems to be getting broad-based as
Nifty Midcap and Small cap indices managed to outperform the front liners.
Both indices logged 4 percent gains in the week gone by, compared to
the BSE Sensex and Nifty50 which gained 0.8 percent each."Markets
will witness higher volatility but in terms of price, they might just move
higher before the Budget.
We are expecting the positive momentum to
continue in the upcoming week, though some correction could be in the offing
given the premium valuations. Stock-specific activity will guide the
market as we get deeper into the earnings season. Mid cap and Small cap spaces are likely to continue their outperformance
where a sector-specific move can be seen on pre-Budget news flows.
Key support and resistance level for Nifty
According to the pivot charts, the key support level for Nifty
is placed at 12,320.63, followed by 12,288.97. If the index moves up, key
resistance levels to watch out for are 12,384.73 and 12,417.17.
Nifty Bank
The Nifty Bank ended 0.83 percent lower at 31,590.65. The
important pivot level, which will act as crucial support for the index, is
placed at 31,432.93 followed by 31,275.17. On the upside, key resistance levels
are placed at 31,761.03 and 31,931.37.
Call options data
Maximum call open interest (OI) of 28.23 lakh
contracts was seen at 12,500 strike price. It will act as a crucial resistance
level in the January series.
This is followed by 12,400 strike price, which holds 18.36 lakh
contracts in open interest, and 12,300, which has accumulated 15.13 lakh
contracts in open interest.
Significant call writing was seen at the 12,700 strike
price, which added 1.51 lakh contracts. Call unwinding was witnessed at 12,500
strike price, which shed 2.14 lakh contracts, followed by 12,600 strike, which
shed 0.99 lakh contracts.
Put options data
Maximum put open interest of 37.13 lakh contracts
was seen at 12,000 strike price, which will act as crucial support in the
January series.
This is followed by 12,200 strike price, which holds
25.97 lakh contracts in open interest, and 12,300 strike price, which has
accumulated 18.76 lakh contracts in open interest.
Put writing was seen at the 12,300 strike price,
which added 2.15 lakh contracts, followed by 12,400 strike which added 1,52
lakh contracts. Put unwinding was seen at 12,000 strike price, which shed 4.94
lakh contracts, followed by 11,900 strike which shed 2.72 lakh contracts.
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