16.06.2019
AAKASHAYA PATRA WEEKLY MARKET OVERVIEW:
Nifty still continues to remain in Trading Range between
12103-11614. But for the past 5 trading sessions, each day's candle body lay in
the trading range of 6th May 2019 (12039-11830). Last hour on Friday saw
serious sell-off which dragged the indices lower, such that the closing was
below the low of the trading range of 6th May i.e. below Nifty 11830. The
inability of the Market to sustain at higher levels has resulted in the Market
moving lower with the bias turning negative. This has opened the way to test
the higher bottom at 11769,followed by critical weekly Support in the form of
Bullish Gap between 11591-11426.
Technically Speaking :-
Sensex opened the week at 39787, made a high of 40066, low of 39363
and closed the week at 39452. Thus it closed the week with a loss of 163
points. At the same time the Nifty opened the week at 11934, made a high of
12000, low of 11797 and closed the week at 11823. Thus the Nifty closed the
week with a loss of 47 points.
On the daily charts, both Sensex and Nifty have formed a Opening
Black body Marubuzo. On the weekly charts, both the indices have formed a
smaller than a Real Black body. Thus Candlestick pattern study suggests a
Bearish bias.
Both the indices are moving in a Trading Range between Sensex
40312-38651 & Nifty 12103-
11614. A bullish breakout will see Sensex reaching Cup & Handle
target of 41053 and Nifty 12232.
A bearish break will take the indices to support of Weekly Bullish
Gap.Both the indices have left behind a Bullish Breakaway Gap not only on the
daily time-frame but also on weekly time-frame. This Bullish Gap between Sensex
38570-38001 and Nifty 11591-11426 will now act as strong Support Zone.
Both the indices had completed a Bullish Cup & Handle pattern in
March 2019 and now they are
heading towards their target of Sensex 41053 and Nifty 12232. Also a
Rounding Bottom got completed,
which has a target of Sensex 44687 & Nifty 13516.Both the
indices have closed this week below the short term average of 20dma (Sensex –
39513 and Nifty - 11856). Both the indices continue to remain above the medium
term average of 50dma (Sensex - 38903 and Nifty 11680) as well as the long term
average of 200dma (Sensex – 36902 and Nifty - 11092). Thus the Trend in the
medium term and long term Timeframe continues to be Bullish, whereas the Trend
in the short term Timeframe has turned Bearish.
MACD and Price ROC are both in Sell mode. RSI (51) suggests Bullish
momentum. Stochastic Oscillator %K (47) is below %D and hence in Sell mode. ADX
(34) suggests Uptrend under consolidation.Directional Indicators are still in
Buy mode as +DI is above -DI. MFI (61) suggests Positive
Money Flow. Thus Oscillators are suggesting a mixed bias.
Options data for June series indicate highest Call Open Interest is
at 12000 and the highest Put
build-up is still at the strike of 11500. Thus Options data suggests
a trading range with resistance at
12000 and strong support at 11500.
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