12.05.2019
AAKASHAYA PATRA SEVEN STAR SMART EDUCATION SERIES PART – 8 :
Exponential Moving Average
"Exponential Moving Average" As we know that moving average is play very important role in
Technical Analysis and its a time tested and trusted indicator. Moving Average
is a legging indicator.
The main difference between Simple Moving Average and Exponential Moving
Average is, Simple Moving Average gives a equal weight to all closing price
while Exponential Moving Average gives a more weight on recent closing price,
it means Exponential Moving Average gives an early signal or alerts as compair
to Simple Moving Average as it mainly focus on recent change happen in stock
closing price.
Calculation of EMA :
EMA
= Price(t)×k+EMA ( y)×(1-k)
Where:
t=today
y=yesterday
N=number
of days in EMA
k=2÷(N+1)
EMA is a time tested and trusted indicators to forecast the trend
and the future price movement of any stock, commodity and currency If EMA value
is increasing day by day or in any specific time frame and if the stock price
close above the EMA line, its a good signal for Trend Reversal and its sign for
upward side movement in that specific stock,and if EMA value is decreasing day
by day or in specific time frame so it’s a negative sign indicate bearish
atmosphere will may start for this specific stock and if stock price close
below EMA line its a clear-cut negative sign for that stock that stock price
may go down for this stock in next coming days
Once again I repeat here that moving average is Legging Indicators
and it follow the trend, it gives signal when trend has been completely changed
Use of EMA as a Support and
Resistance :-
When we
apply EMA for any candlestick chart, below part of EMA line will be act as
resistance and upper part of EMA line will be act as a support Stock price will
face Support and Resistance accordingly, if price show a breakout it means when
stock price close above EMA line (Break the Resistance) and we get confirmation
candle also above EMA line it means it’s a change of current down trend and
there will be a trend change in this particular stock as it manage to close
above EMA value On other side if any stock show break out down side of the EMA
line (Break the Support), it will be consider as a bearish sign for that
particular
stock and price will may fall down in coming days for this stock
Importance of EMA Crossover :-
EMA
Crossover will play a very important role to forecast
Up Ward side and Down Side momentum In stock market, some people are doing
trading or investment with emotions and because of that they missed in time
entry and in time exit If we think this scenario with 50 Days (Fast and Short
Term) and 200 days (Slow and Long Term) Moving Average Crossover If 50 days EMA
cross 200 days exponential moving average from below, in Technical Analysis its
known as Positive Crossover and its a Bullish
Breakout, Stock Price may get appreciate in coming days from this
crossover price and from other side if 50 days EMA cross 200 days EMA from above
side it is known as Negative crossover in Technical Analysis, its a sign of
bearish breakout and stock price may fall down in coming days from this crossover
price So EMA Crossover is helpful for those who trade or invest with emotions,
it give a sign for timely entry and exist to trader and investors
According to Time Period some
widely use Exponential Moving Average and Crossover:-
10
to 20 For Short Term Period
50
For Medium Term Period
200
For Long Term Period
Crossover :-
5
and 21 For Short Term Period
20
and 50 For Medium Term Period
50
and 200 For Long Term Period
for
more such type of education joint our online series and batches and be a pro
trader contact on 7028 421 786.
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